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牛津通识课:概率_约翰·黑格(Referencesandfurtherreading) 第(1/1)页

, ProbabilityandtheWeighingofEvidence (Griffin, 1950).JackGoodworkedwithAlanTuringontheEnigmaprojectatBletchleyPark, , TheFoundationsofStatistics (Wiley, 1954)., AnIntroductiontoProbabilityTheoryandItsApplications , Vol.I (Editions, 1950, 1957, 1968)., TheEmergenceofProbability (CambridgeUniversityPress, 1975).Authoritative, , FoundationsoftheTheoryofProbability , 2ndedn.(Chelsea, 1956).(Theoriginalpublicationin1933wasGrundbegriffederWahrscheinlichtkeitsrechnung.)

, TheHistoryofStatistics (HarvardUniversityPress, 1986).Scholarlywork, , AHistoryoftheMathematicalTheoryofProbabilityfromtheTimeofPascaltothatofLaplace (Chelsea, 1949)., Statistics: AVeryShortIntroduction (OxfordUniversityPress, 2008)., BadScience (HarperPerennial, 2008).Mainlyaboutmisusesofstatisticsinmedicalscience, , HowToWinMore (, 1998).Thesubtitle ‘Strategiesforincreasingalotterywin’ , BeattheDealer (VintageBooks, 1966).MadeThorpfamous, buthisfortunecamefromthestockmarket, , ‘ToAmnioorNotToAmnio: ThatIstheDecisionforBayes’, Chance , 20(3) (2007).Thefullaccount, , OneMillionRandomDigits, with100,000NormalDeviates (RAND, 1955).Containsexactlywhatitsaysonthetin.Chapter8Significance , 2(1) (2005).Thisjournalcontainsseveralusefularticlesaboutprobabilityandthelaw, includingPeterDonnelly’s ‘AppealingStatistics’, andTonyGardner-Medwin’s ‘Whatprobabilityshouldajuryaddress?’., Irecommend:

takesyoutotheChancewebsiteofDartmouthCollege, withavarietyofusefullinks, includingthearchiveof ‘ChanceNews’, videoandaudiomaterial. isaimedatresearchersandteachers, butotherswillalsobepleasedtoseethelistofbooks, newsgroups, pertinentquotes, andmiscellaneousinformation. , MichaelShacklefordhassetup , ; severalissuescontainhighlyilluminating ‘conversations’ withdistinguishedprobabilistswhotalkcandidlyabouttheircareers.


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